Costed Action Plan for SADC Industrialization Strategy and Roadmap
VII.
FINANCING
7.1
Introduction
Costing and financing estimates for the Action Plan are unavoidably fragile given the
uncertainties and unknowns inherent in such an exercise, especially under current
conditions of heightened uncertainty in the world economy. The Action Plan
distinguishes between regional and national responsibilities and also between those to
be undertaken by public agencies, including state-owned enterprises, and the private
sector.
7.2
Demand for Financing
While the demand for finance can be analysed in tandem with the costing exercise of
public regional and national expenditures, private sector funding requirements can only
be very crudely estimated at macro-level. Since 2000, fixed investment in SADC has
averaged 21 percent of GDP which with GDP growth of 3.6 percent annually implies an
incremental capital-output ratio averaging just under 6. (Table 7.1) Over the 15-year
period to 2014, the bulk of this funding has come from the private sector whose share of
total fixed investment for 11 of the 15 countries for which data is available was twothirds.
Table 7.1 Investment and Financing in SADC (2000-2014)
COUNTRY
Gross Fixed
Investment
% of GDP
Private
Sector
Investment
(% share)
Foreign
Gross
GDP
Incremental
Direct
Domestic Growth
CapitalInvestment Savings (% 2000Output
(% of Fixed of GDP)
2014
Ratio
Investment)
(% p.a.)
(ICOR)
Angola
28.5
n.a.
33.5
47.1
9.7
2.9
Botswana
27.9
64.2
12.7
34.9
4.7
5.9
DRC
12.2
66.6
38.4
8.7
5.6
2.2
Lesotho
29.7
61.8
14.9
n.a.
4.1
7.2
Madagascar 27.3
73.0
24.5
5.8
2.6
10.5
Malawi
21.0
53.0
16.4
5.1
4.4
4.8
Mauritius
23.0
73.0
11.3
15.8
3.7
6.2
Mozambique 21.0
n.a.
42.5
6.1
7.9
2.7
Namibia
26.5
73.0
27.1
12.9
4.9
5.3
Seychelles
28.0
n.a.
47.6
18.4
3.1
9.0
South Africa 19.6
69.0
9.4
19.4
3.1
6.3
Swaziland
12.6
58.0
23.0
5.7
2.4
5.5
Tanzania
29.7
70.7
14.4
17.4
6.7
4.4
Zambia
21.3
n.a.
23.0
n.a.
7.2
2.9
Zimbabwe
11.2
83.0
7.4
-7.2
-1.3
n.a.
SADC
21.0
65.7
18.8
14.0
3.6
5.8
Sources; World Bank: World Development Indicators and UNCTAD: World Investment Report 2015
54
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