SGBV violates an individual’s rights continues to be
low.
Food scarcity may inherently lead to tensions within
the household, thus increasing the likelihood of
domestic violence. Women can also suffer reprisal
attacks for their participation in food aid assistance
activities by their partners in some communities.
This situation subjects the powerless victims,
the majority being adolescent girls and women,
to emotional trauma, physical injury, HIV and STI
transmission, and unwanted pregnancies. For
adolescent girls, such experiences often lead them
to drop out of school, curtailing their opportunities
in life. Awareness about sexual exploitation and
gender-based violence as violation of an individual’s
rights continues to be low across the region.
There are also reports that pregnant women no
longer present to give birth at health facilities. This
may have critical consequences since lifesaving
services to prevent maternal and neonatal deaths
and mother-to-child HIV transmission.
Women play a key role in household livelihoods,
and their knowledge and leadership needs to
be incorporated into response planning and
implementation. The specific needs of women and
girls are often excluded from rapid assessments,
and are often not addressed in responses and
reliable sex-disaggregated data is lacking for
sectoral interventions.
ECONOMIC SITUATION
The majority of Southern African countries face a
negative economic outlook, mainly due to falling
commodity prices and a weakening in African
currencies, including the South Africa Rand
and Zambian Kwacha, which hit record lows in
December 2015. Many countries in the region
derive the majority of their export earnings from
commodities such as oil and metals. Angola, which
relies on oil to generate more than 90 per cent of its
export earnings and 70 per cent of its government
revenue, has been hard hit by the falling oil prices
(last year, it fell by two-thirds), leading to inflation,
devaluation and rationing. In Zambia, where copper
production accounts for about 75 per cent of
export revenue, El Niño is compounding the fall in
commodity prices, as low water levels in the hydroelectric Kariba Dam reduced power output to both
Zambia and Zimbabwe, affecting mining operations
and economic development.
Maize prices in 2016 have continued on an
increasing trend from 2015 and are currently above
five-year monthly average levels. As of January
2016 the price of maize in Malawi stands at 79.4
per cent above its three-year average level. The
price of maize in January 2016 compared to fiveyear average levels across Southern Africa are as
follows: Mozambique: 94.8 per cent; South Africa:
65.8 per cent; Swaziland: 54.5 per cent; Tanzania:
34.7 per cent; Zambia: 27.1 per cent; Lesotho: 24.8
per cent; and Zimbabwe: 19 per cent. Like many
countries in Southern Africa region, South Africa
— traditionally a maize exporter — will have to
import maize, its staple grain, over the course of
2016. This will likely lead to additional food basket
cost increases and will further complicate the food
security situation of neighbouring countries that
traditionally rely upon South Africa for food imports
to cover deficits.
In Lesotho and Zimbabwe (the latter using the US
dollar as currency), the value of remittances, which
are important income sources for poor households,
is particularly negatively affected by the depreciating
Rand, down 15 per cent. Inflation is also worsening
due to rising food prices triggered by the drought.
Available data provided by Member States in March
2016 and from the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) World Economic Outlook database indicate
that economic performance for 2015 presents a
depressed scenario for the region with real GDP
growing marginally. Inflation pressures are building
on the back of both supply and demand factors.
Fiscal deficits have deteriorated and public debt
is rising. External positions of most of the Member
States are deteriorating and external foreign
exchange reserves are under pressure.
Development funding will have to be redirected
towards emergency relief efforts, which will affect
economic growth. Tourism, an important source of
revenue, can also be expected to decrease due to
water scarcity and impact on wildlife (see section
below).
While external factors have largely contributed to the
current poor performance of the region, internally,
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